How can use Phillips curve as an
instrument of economic policy. (Trade off problem):
Paul Samuelsson and Robert-M- Slow has explain in an
article (analytical aspect of anti-inflation policy published in 1960. In this
article they have given an idea that Phillips curve can be used as an
instrument of Economics policy they have also given the concept that I trade of
exist between rate of inflation and level of unemployment so we can choose
alternative on a Philips curve shown below figure 1.1
Figure 1.1
The connection with the original Philip's curves can
be established with the help of two different approaches
Through the assumption of constant increase in the
price of cost of per unit of labor by different firms. In this approach rate of
inflation is equal to the between rate of money wage change and change in the
productivity of labor this method is used by two different economist Neil and
j. Gordo
π= Δw-Δmp2
π=rate of inflation
πw= money wage change
πmpl= marginal productivity of labor change
In the second approach explain through the working of
wage price system in it change in wage rate is a function of inflation rate and
rate of unemployment
ΔW=
f (π, µ)
And inflation rate is a function of rate of change in money wage rate and
excess demand in goods market.
ΔW=
f (π, µ)
π
=f (Δw, EΔ)
ED=
Excess demand
Figure 1.1
This method has been used by Robert.M. Solow and S.H. Hymans and Waynared
again professor lipsey has contributed in the explanation of trade off problem
combining Philips curve with hypothetical concuss welfare function which
expresses preference for alternative combinations this concuss welfare increase
toward origin as explain with help of diagram shown below:
Figure (2.2)
in the
above diagram of hypothetical welfare function is tangent to Phillips curve at
combination of point B which is showing rate of inflation π3 and rate of unemployment µ3 in the above diagram it is also shown that we can reduce unemployment
by using expansionary demand policy but it will result in a higher rate of inflation but
another question arise that if we want to maintain a specific level of rate of
inflation we can travel to right ward of a Philips curve for example in the
diagram below we want to maintain 5% rate of inflation in the country to
maintain this level who can shift to right off point H
Figure 2.3
the
answer to this question is given by the concept of natural rate of unemployment
given by edmand Phelp and Milton Friedman according to these two economist with
the help of natural rate of unemployment concept we can provide an answer to
this problem the definition of natural unemployment rate (NUR) is that it is some level of unemployment
having the property that it is constant with any rate of inflation which is
anticipated in the above definition we have used a term anticipated rate of
inflation we used to explain the concept of anticipated and anticipated rate of
inflation theory with the help of is concept we also explain either there is a
stable relationship between inflation and rate of unemployment it provide us
concept of short run and long run Phillips curve.
Author: Nasir Mehmood Ch مصنف: ناصرمحمود چوہدری
Email: Nasirmehmoodch97@gmail.com
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